On Saturday evening, Bulgaria and Lithuania go head-to-head at the Stadion Vasil Levski in Group G of qualifying for the European Championships.
Bulgaria form guideThe home team have endured a poor campaign in Group G, having picked up just two points from their five matches in qualifying. In fact, Bulgaria have failed to win in their last seven international outings.
Their recent international games have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in seven of their last nine matches.
Bulgaria have struggled in European Championships qualifiers of late, having won just one of their previous 14 matches in qualifying.
Their recent record on home soil in qualifiers has been poor, as they have claimed just one victory in their last seven home games. Their recent home games in qualifying have been relatively low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in six of their previous nine matches in qualifiers.
Lithuania form guideThe visitors are currently at the bottom of Group G, below the home team on goal difference in the standings. Lithuania has a woeful recent record in qualifying for the European Championships, as they are winless in their last 15 qualifiers, having suffered 11 defeats and only picked up four draws.
Their poor recent record in qualifying is based on a poor defensive record, as Lithuania have conceded at least two goals in ten of their last 11 qualifiers.
Lithuania have an atrocious recent away record in the European Championships qualifiers, as they are winless in their last ten matches on their travels, having suffered nine defeats and picked up just one draw.
A big factor in that recent poor run on the road is a leaky defence, as they have conceded at least two goals in their last six qualifiers on the road. However, their recent away qualifiers have been relatively low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in three of their previous four matches.
What am I backing?Both teams have endured poor qualifying campaigns, but I expect this game to be a relatively low-scoring encounter, so I am backing under 2.5 goals scored.
